Jennings Weighs in On Results
Tuesday’s election results delivered a mixed outcome, offering little in the way of a decisive narrative for either party.
Republicans scored two clear wins in Florida, easily securing the congressional seats vacated by Matt Gaetz and Michael Waltz. Both districts are heavily conservative, and the GOP maintained its grip with strong margins. These victories offer some assurance to Republican leadership amid national concerns about unity and turnout heading into the general election cycle.
A ballot initiative to add Voter ID to the Wisconsin state constitution is currently passing overwhelmingly pic.twitter.com/eWJ4zCeT6h
— Greg Price (@greg_price11) April 2, 2025
In Wisconsin, the results were more complicated. Liberals retained their 4-3 majority on the state Supreme Court, denying conservatives an opportunity to shift the judicial balance. While the race was not expected to be a landslide, the outcome disappointed Republicans hoping for a symbolic win in a key battleground state.
At the same time, Wisconsin voters overwhelmingly approved a ballot initiative to require voter ID, a longstanding Republican priority. The passage of this initiative underscores a disconnect between the judicial results and voter sentiment on election integrity, suggesting a complex electoral mood rather than a clear ideological tilt.
You know things are bad for the Democrats when they're celebrating double digit losses in Congressional races.
"He is going to win, we're projecting a win for him [Patronis]. But Dana, it's not a 35 point win." pic.twitter.com/xWhxjltMVU
— Thomas Hern (@ThomasMHern) April 2, 2025
Political analyst Scott Jennings offered a grounded assessment, warning against sweeping conclusions. "Neither side should over-analyze the results here," he said, noting that off-year special elections often skew turnout and do not always reflect broader national trends. His advice: avoid panic or overconfidence.
Democrats, meanwhile, leaned heavily on familiar rhetoric during the Wisconsin judicial race, including claims that conservative interests were fueled by billionaire donors. However, such arguments ring hollow given the substantial progressive donor influence—including billionaires—on the left. The funding arms race remains active on both sides of the aisle.
The moral of the story here tonight.
Every Republican Secretary of State candidate in the country needs to be hammering on Voter ID for the midterms.
This is a winning issue.
Even Democrats want this.
— Dustin Grage (@GrageDustin) April 2, 2025